For many Americans, it’s just too early to pay attention to Election 2020.
Given a list of nine Democratic candidates for President, just 43% of voters nationwide were able to identify Tom Steyer as the candidate who just entered the race. Despite significant media coverage, 13% mistakenly identified Eric Swalwell as the newest candidate (he actually dropped out of the race). A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 4% to 8% of voters thought that Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Beto O’Rourke, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Kirsten Gillibrand, or Cory Booker just joined the field.
Forty-two percent (42%) correctly identified Swalwell as the candidate who recently dropped out. Twelve percent (12%) thought Steyer dropped out. Between 5% and 9% thought each of the other named candidates dropped out this week.
Sixty-three percent (63%) correctly identified Joe Biden as the current leader in the polls. Fifteen percent (15%) thought Sanders was ahead while 8% named Warren as the leader and 7% picked Harris.
Twenty-three percent (23%) of voters are following the race for the Democratic nomination Very Closely. Another 36% are following it Somewhat Closely.
Democrats are not significantly more interested in the race than Republicans. Independent voters are paying less attention than the partisans. Democrats are also not notably more informed about the race than Republicans (see crosstab results).
These top four candidates have been the clear leaders in surveys for several months (see topline trends). A few weeks ago, Scott Rasmussen suggested that we may already be down to a four-person race. Head-to-head match-ups among the top four Democrats are all toss-ups.
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The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).