Forty (40%) of Registered Voters nationwide expect the Democrats to win control of the House of Representatives when all the votes are counted. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 35% disagree and think the Republicans will hang on for victory.
Last week, 38% picked the Democrats to win and 36% said the opposite. Two weeks ago, Republicans were favored by a 40% to 37% margin. We have asked this question eight times this year and last week was the first time a plurality picked the Democrats to win (see question wording and crosstab results).
By a 45% to 31% margin, voters expect Republicans to keep control of the Senate.
This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted NOvember 4-5, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
In the past, voter expectations have often been a good indicator of election outcomes. At the moment, voter expectations are consistent with what most analysts expect.
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