40% Expect Dems to Win House, 35% Think GOP Will Hang On

Forty (40%) of Registered Voters nationwide expect the Democrats to win control of the House of Representatives when all the votes are counted.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 35% disagree and think the Republicans will hang on for victory.

Last week, 38% picked the Democrats to win and 36% said the opposite. Two weeks ago, Republicans were favored by a 40% to 37% margin. We have asked this question eight times this year and last week was the first time a plurality picked the Democrats to win (see question wording and crosstab results).

By a 45% to 31% margin, voters expect Republicans to keep control of the Senate.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted NOvember 4-5, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

In the past, voter expectations have often been a good indicator of election outcomes. At the moment, voter expectations are consistent with what most analysts expect.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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