37% Think Dems Will Win House, 37% Republicans

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters nationwide now expect the Democrats to win control of the House in November’s election. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 37% think Republicans will win. These results mark are little changed from a week ago. However, two weeks ago,  Republicans were picked to win by a 40% to 35% margin.

However, just 20% of voters are following news about the midterm elections very closely.

Among those most likely to vote, 44% pick the Democrats and 39% the Republicans.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republican voters expect their team to win and 71% of Democratic voters are confident of victory (see question wording and crosstabs).

As for the Senate, 40% expect the GOP to retain their majority while 33% think the Democrats will gain control.

This survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted on October 3-4, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Related data shows that 29% of voters believe their representative in Congress is more conservative than they are. Twenty-four percent (24%) say more liberal. Sign up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update to receive daily email insights and analysis.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us and review all of our recent data releases).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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