As with many things in our political world today, perceptions of the tariff threats and recent deal with Mexico depend upon what people expected to see. Thirty-four percent (34% ) of voters believe the threat of tariffs led to a better deal for the United States. However, 35% disagree and 31% are not sure.
Prior to the agreement, opinion was evenly divided. Fifty percent (50%) favored the tariff threat and 50% opposed it.
Republicans, by a 59% to 15% margin, believe the tariff threats helped. Democrats, by a 57% to 19% margin, disagree. Independent voters are evenly divided–27% say they helped, 30% say they didn’t, and 40% are not sure (see crosstab results).
The survey also found that 86% believe it’s important for Mexico to help the United States fight illegal immigration. Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe it is likely to help. Eight-out-of-ten voters believe that illegal immigration is bad for the United States.
Looking ahead, if the Mexican government does not help the United States reduce illegal immigration, 42% believe the United States should again threaten to impose tariffs. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disagree.
In that case, 74% of Republicans think the tariff threat should be issued while 60% of Democrats do not. Among Independent voters, 32% support another tariff threat and 39% do not.
Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters have followed news about the agreement with Mexico at least somewhat closely.
Public reaction to the tariffs suggest that, for many voters, there is more at stake than economic considerations.
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The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.
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