Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters say it is at least somewhat unlikely that Donald Trump will still be President of the United States at the end of 2019. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 62% believe he is likely to still be president while 12% are not sure.
Those figures include 40% who say President Trump is Very Likely to be in office a year from now and 12% who think it is Very Unlikely.
A majority of African-American voters (55%) think it is unlikely President Trump will be in office when 2019 comes to a close. That view is shared by 44% of all Democrats, but only 5% of Republicans (see crosstab results).
If the president remains in office and seeks re-election, voters are evenly divided on his prospects. Forty-three percent (43%) say he is at least somewhat likely to win in 2020 while 44% take the opposite view and 13% are not sure.
Seventy percent (70%) of black voters believe President Trump is unlikely to be re-elected. White voters, by a 48% to 40% margin, think he is likely to keep his job. Hispanic voters, by a 49% to 35% margin, say he is unlikely to prevail a year from November.
That racial divide is fueled partially by the fact that 57% of voters believe President Trump wants a nation based upon white supremacy.
ScottRasmussen.com updates the president’s job approval on a daily basis. Every day, we also present new public opinion data relating to topics in the news along with the generic congressional ballot. Our mission is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).
The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted December 19-20, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).