19% Will Definitely Vote for Trump; 46% Will Definitely Vote Against

Nineteen percent (19%) of voters nationwide will definitely vote to re-elect President Trump in 2020. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that 46% are that committed to voting against the president.

The survey also found that 13% of voters say they will probably vote for the president, 7% will probably vote against, and 15% say it’s too early to tell.

Among Republicans, just 47% say they’ll definitely vote to re-elect the president. Another 22% will probably do so and 13% say it’s too early to tell (see crosstab results).

However, the president may benefit if the Democrats nominate a very progressive Democrat who embraces Socialism and the Green New Deal. By a 58% to 20% margin, uncommitted voters say such a nominee would make them more likely to vote for the president. That includes 81% of wavering Republicans and 55% of uncommitted Independent voters.

If the Democrats nominate a centrist candidate who embraces America’s capitalist system and rejects progressive policies like the Green New Deal, the president doesn’t benefit as much. In that case, 44% of uncommitted voters would be more likely to vote for Trump and 33% for the Democrat.

Forty-one percent (41%) of all voters say the Democrats are likely to nominate a progressive candidate while 16% expect a more centrist option. Forty-four percent (44%) are not sure.

This data confirms the widely held belief that many voters are reluctant to fully embrace the president but believe he may end up as the lesser of two evils. Data released earlier shows that 50% believe the president is likely to win re-election while 49% disagree.

If he wins re-election, 61% of voters nationwide think it is likely that progressive activists will respond with violence. On the other hand, 45% expect violence from right-wing activists if the president loses his bid for re-election.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

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The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted March 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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